Archive for March, 2017

England’s Depth Issues Create Worrisome Long-Term Picture

Harry-KaneHarry Kane” (CC BY-SA 2.0) by enviro warrior

England have a striking crisis heading into their friendly clash against Germany and their World Cup qualifier with Lithuania following Harry Kane’s injury setback.

The Tottenham Hotspur striker was expected to lead the line for the Three Lions for the two matches after being previously unavailable at the end of the last year due to an ankle injury.

However, the 23-year-old suffered ligament damage to the same ankle just minutes into Spurs’ FA Cup quarter-final clash against Millwall after falling awkwardly at White Hart Lane.

Kane was in outstanding form, dramatically rising to lead the Premier League goalscoring charts with 19 strikes, including two hat-tricks and two braces since the turn of the year.

As a result, Gareth Southgate has a tough time to replace the forward, with injuries to Wayne Rooney and Daniel Sturridge further limiting his options.

England are still comfortably backed in the latest international football betting to beat Lithuania, but the issues surrounding the squad are worrisome looking ahead to the 2018 World Cup.

Encouragingly Jamie Vardy has shown signs of life since Leicester parted company with Claudio Ranieri, although he still only has seven goals to his name this term.

The 30-year-old has not done a great deal to disprove that his 24-goal campaign was not a flash in the pan, failing to display the same clinical edge in front of goal.

Marcus Rashford has an abundance of ability, but he has seen his first-team opportunities limited at Manchester United by the presence of Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

He played well in his side’s FA Cup quarter-final defeat to Chelsea, but has not scored a Premier League goal since September, and only seven in 36 appearances in all competitions this term.

Danny-WelbeckDanny Welbeck” (CC BY 2.0) by Ronnie Macdonald

Danny Welbeck has returned from his injury layoff, but his injury history is a major concern as there is always worry that his next fitness issue is only one game away.

The 26-year-old is an incredible talent and has proved it in the Premier League and for the Three Lions. His presence would be a major lift for Southgate, but whether he could be trusted for the long-tem future is another matter.

Those three players have been included in recent squads and are not entirely solid options, but alternatives are thin on the ground, highlighting England’s lack of depth in the striking department.

Gone are the days when the Three Lions were blessed with so much talent – high-calibre players could not break into the starting line-up ala Les Ferdinand, Ian Wright, Matt Le Tissier and Robbie Fowler.

Jermain Defoe could provide short-term relief for Southgate, especially for the double-header against Germany and Lithuania.

The 34-year-old has been nothing short of sensational this term for Sunderland – scoring 14 goals in a side that would have a truly embarrassing points total without his presence. He has lost none of his old spark in front of goal and arguably is playing the best football of his career.

Sadly for England there are no better alternatives in the Premier League – which is no slight on Defoe.

Andy Carroll’s fitness record is also poor, and although he scored an impressive goal in his side’s win against Crystal Palace – he has only six strikes in the Premier League this season.  

Andre Gray has eight goals to his name, although his off-the-field digression earlier in the term could ward off interest from the Three Lions, while the same could be said for Troy Deeney – along with the fact that neither of those players are truly quality options.

Given England’s desperation Carroll and Defoe may have to be the men selected, proving that English football’s long-term prospects are not great – should injuries to key players persist.

Top Tips for the EPL

The English Premier League is in its final third. Chelsea are sure to win the title and betting on the winner of the EPL will give you the lowest possible odds. Bookmakers have even got a market called ‘Without Chelsea’ where the second placed team in the EPL is actually the winning bet.

However, just like the horse racing tips at SBAT.com Cheltenham Festival infographic there are some absolute cracker of betting tips for the EPL as well. Here we look at three value bets which could fill your coffers if properly backed.

Liverpool to Finish in Top 4

If you can put your house on this bet you should do it without thinking twice. Liverpool started the season magnificently and many tipped them for the title because of the spectacular fashion in which they dominated matches.

However, a barren run at the start of the new year, which many pundits said was down to the players being exhausted, resulted in Jurgen Klopp’s men being in danger of missing out on Top 4 and Champions League football next year.

That period seems to be over now, and victories over Top 4 contenders Arsenal and Tottenham signaled a change in the club’s fortunes. The fixture list is also much more relaxed and there is more time between matches. This is essential for Klopp’s high tempo, high intensity pressing game.

The Reds also have only one remaining fixture against a Top 6 side, Manchester City away. This means that all they have to do to finish in Top 4 is to keep their focus and not to drop points against lesser opposition.

Sunderland to Finish Bottom

There is only one team bound to finish in the last position of the EPL and that’s Sunderland. David Moyes is not as bad a manager as people make him out to be, but the squad that he has at his disposal is by far the worst one in the top tier.

With the exception of the veteran striker Jermain Defoe, all of Sunderland’s players would be happy if they made the starting eleven of a Championship side.

And seeing how Defoe is 34 years old and is very likely to suffer from fatigue as the season draws to a close, it seems that Sunderland’s chances of avoiding the drop and finishing bottom are not looking good.

Top Goal Scorer – Diego Costa

This is a riskier bet than the previous two, but with odds of around 4/1 it’s worth a try. Of course Harry Kane is the current favourite for the Golden Boot in the EPL; however, Diego Costa seems to have again found his scoring boots after a short dry spell at the beginning of the year.

The Brazilian with a Spanish passport obviously lost his focus during the winter transfer window when astronomical sums of Chinese money were offered for his services.

However, he decided to stay and has rekindled his partnership with the likes of Hazard, Pedro and Fabregas. This means that the goals should start pouring down once again for Diego.

My Prediction for Today

On March 2017, there are a lots of interesting games. I ll try to select some of them, that take my attention and that’s good for betting.

Lets start for my prediction for today:

1 st March – Lazio – Roma – game for the Italian Cup. Match starts today at 19:45 and will be played at Stadio Olimpico. Lazio is making 4 wins from their last 6 games. Roma is at better performance with 5 wins from total 6 games. Both teams play offensive football and score a lots of goals. Roma is at very good sport form, especially at home, where make a record of 12 wins form 12 games. Lazio has 2 of their 5 games over 2.5, but Roma has 4 of their 5 games over 2.5 goals. Here we can see in stats, that from last five games Roma has not only 4 with over 2.5 goals, but 4 with over 3.5 goals. Sampdoria -Roma 3:2, Fiorentina – Roma 4:0, Roma – Torino – 4:0, Inter – Roma – 1:3; Very high scoring results last games, so we think here again will see attractive football and many goals in both doors. Here, we can mention, that form all games at Olimpico stadium between both teams finished in 83% – over 2.5.

My prediction for today – you can find one of the best odds at Bet365 – over 2.5 – 1.80